LATEST · LIVE
What's moving now headlines, polls and markets, minute by minute.What's moving now
Headlines from eight newsrooms, every new public poll and every prediction-market swing, in one wire that refreshes itself.
Sources: the newsrooms' RSS feeds, the polls of VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) and Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0) and Polymarket
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Until polls open · Nov 3
Headlines link to the original publishers and are auto-tagged with transparent keyword rules. Polls: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) and Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), two-party toplines only. Markets: Polymarket state Senate winner markets that moved 3+ points in 24 hours.
THE EXPERTS
60 rating changes by the experts since November 3: 14 toward the Democrats, 46 toward the Republicans.
Expert ratings are a dated snapshot of Cook Political Report, Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, compared with the snapshot archived on each earlier day.
THE MODEL · MP-26
How the model has moved kept apart from the independent sources above.
The forecast today against November 3: chamber odds, the races that moved most and races that changed favourite.
MP-26 · CHAMBER ODDS
Chance of a Democratic majority
25 archived runs
BIGGEST MOVES
Races that moved most
PA-10D+6.6 → D+4.481% → 72% D−9 ptsMT-01D+2.6 → D+1.164% → 56% D−8 ptsNC-01D+5.8 → D+3.978% → 70% D−8 ptsPA-01D+1.6 → D+0.559% → 53% D−6 ptsSouth Carolina SenateR+3.8 → R+2.930% → 35% D+5 ptsNY-17D+5.3 → D+4.076% → 71% D−5 ptsOH-01D+13.2 → D+10.396% → 92% D−4 ptsOH-07R+3.3 → R+2.633% → 37% D+4 ptsPA-08R+0.2 → D+0.549% → 53% D+4 ptsME-02R+0.3 → D+0.148% → 51% D+3 ptsNV-02R+1.8 → R+2.241% → 38% D−3 ptsTexas SenateD+2.3 → D+2.662% → 64% D+2 ptsNC-11D+4.5 → D+3.872% → 70% D−2 ptsNM-02D+14.8 → D+13.498% → 96% D−2 ptsSC-01R+0.8 → R+1.146% → 44% D−2 pts
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