Midterm Pulse2026US Electionsby Jorge Garcelán
Election nightENES

ELECTION HISTORY · 1976–2024

The history that weighs on 2026

Half a century of American elections: how the House swings at each midterm, how the presidential map was redrawn state by state, which states decide it now, and how the Senate has changed hands.

Presidential elections
13
Senate cycles
25
Battleground states
7

THE HOUSE

The House, cycle by cycle

Every two years the whole House is elected. In midterms the president's party has lost seats every time since 2010; in presidential years the swings are small.

2018235 D · 199 RDemocratic wave · Midterm

Democratic seat change

Turnout
50.3%
House control
Democratic
Seats above 218
17

THE PRESIDENTIAL MAP

Half a century of presidential maps

The map has turned almost inside out: the South went from Democratic to Republican, the West Coast and the Northeast the other way. Press play to watch it move.

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THE BATTLEGROUNDS

Seven states that decide it now

The presidential margin in each battleground since 1976, against the national popular vote (dashed). Most of them sit within a few points of the line: that is what makes them battlegrounds.

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THE SENATE

The Senate, cycle by cycle

A third of the Senate is elected every two years, by class. Pick a year to see who won each race; 2026 elects the class II seats, last elected in 2020, 2014 and 2008.

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Sources: House composition and turnout as compiled for the site (U.S. House Clerk; United States Elections Project); presidential results by state, MIT Election Data and Science Lab; Senate results, FiveThirtyEight election-results (CC BY 4.0).