Midterm Pulse2026US Electionsby Jorge Garcelán
Election nightENES

STATE · 2026 MIDTERMS

Arizona

9House seats
5favour D
0toss-up
3in play
R+5.5President 2024

HOUSE

9 districts, closest first

AZ-06
Lean Dpolls R+2.0
AZ-02
Lean Rpolls D+1.3
AZ-01
Lean Dpolls D+3.8
AZ-03
Safe Dno polls
AZ-04
Safe Dno polls
AZ-05
Safe Rno polls
AZ-07
Safe Dno polls
AZ-08
Safe Rno polls
AZ-09
Safe Rno polls

TERRITORY · CENSUS 2020

Where its people live. Arizona is the 8th most urban of 50 states.

89 %live in urban areasU.S.: 80 %
765,200people live in rural areas11 % of residents
22 %live in Phoenix1,608,139 residents
6 %live outside any city, town or census-designated placeCensus places, 2020

Where the people are

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UrbanRuralEach dot is a Census block group, about 1,500 people, sized by its population (Census 2020).

Largest cities and towns

  1. Phoenix1,608,13922 % of residents
  2. Tucson542,6297.6 % of residents
  3. Mesa504,2587.1 % of residents
  4. Chandler275,9873.9 % of residents
  5. Gilbert267,9183.7 % of residents
  6. Glendale248,3253.5 % of residents
  7. Scottsdale241,3613.4 % of residents
  8. Peoria190,9852.7 % of residents

Urban means living inside a 2020 Census urban area, a densely settled core of at least 5,000 people or 2,000 homes; the Census Bureau has no suburban category. Cities are Census places (incorporated cities and towns, and census-designated places), counted block by block on the November 2026 district lines. Census Bureau ↗

State profile

Arizona at a glance

— House seats

Census profile

Arizona vs. the country

ACS
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Presidential results

Arizona since 1976

MIT Election Lab
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Two-party margin of the presidential vote in the state (Democratic share minus Republican share of all votes cast).